Oil Revenue, Market Share vs. Price (Case of Iran)

October 18th – 19th 2003

Conference Venue, Azadi Grand Hotel, Tehran-Iran


DAY ONE
08:15- Registration
08:30-OPENNING CEREMONY AND CONFERENCE REPORT

09:00- KEYNOTE ADDRESSES
·                      HE Bijan Zanganeh, Minister of Petroleum, I.R. Iran (Farsi)
·                      Dr.  Masoud Nili, Advisor to the Minister of Petroleum

09:45- REFRESHMENT

          WORLD OIL SUPPLY AND DEMAND OUTLOOK

Chairman: Mr. H. Kazempour Ardebili/ Mr. Javad Yarjani

10:00- SESSION  I :
·                       Mr. H. Mohammad-Nejad, Deputy Minister of Petroleum for Caspian Sea Oil and Gas Affairs
               Caspian Sea Oil and Gas  Power Point Presentation
·                       Mr. Michael D. Smith, Head, Energy Analysis Economics Unit, bp
                  The Medium-Term Outlook for OPEC Oil  Power Point Presentation
·                       Dr. Manouchehr Takin, Senior Petroleum Upstream Analyst, Center for Global Energy Studies (CGES)
              OPEC and the Expansion of Iran's Oil Production Capacity

11:00- REFRESHMENT

11:30- SESSION  II :
·                       Dr. S. M. R. Tayyebi Jazayeri, Econometrician in the Petroleum Market Analysis Dept., OPEC
               Analysis of Structural Changes in Oil Demand and its Impacts on Energy Security   
·                       Dr. Michael R. Smith, Director, EnergyFiles Ltd.
              The Future for Global Oil Supply  Power Point Presentation

·                       Ms. Dunia Chalabi, Manager for Middle East and North Africa, Int'l Energy Agency (IEA)
                  Recent Developments in the Region and its Impact on Oil Markets and the Iranian Economy

12:30- LUNCH

          OPEC, IRAN: PRICE / MARKET SHARE STRATEGIES

Chairman: Dr. Hojatollah Ghanimifard

14:00- SESSION  III :
·                      Mr. H. Kazempour Ardebili, Senior Advisor to the Minister of Petroleum & Member of the Board of
             Governors of OPEC  
(Farsi)
                  Iran, OPEC and Strategy of Market Share versus Price   Power Point Presentation
·                      Mr. Mohamed Hamel, Head, Energy Studies Department, OPEC Secretariat
               Market Share and Price: A Medium and Long-Term Perspective  Power Point Presentation
·                      Ms. Vera De Ladoucette, Senior Director Middle East Research, Cambridge Energy Research
             Association (CERA)
             Oil Revenue: Market Share versus Price

15:00- REFRESHMENT

15:30- SESSION  IV:
·                       Dr. Bernard Mommer, Managing Director, PDV (UK) S. A.
                  Governance Structures and Oil Prices
·                       Mr. Tor Kartevold, Expert & Senior Advisor on Int’l Oil Market, Statoil
               The Manoeuvring Room for OPEC in the Medium-Term
·                      Dr. Masoud Derakhshan, Senior Advisor, Oil & Gas, Majlis (Parliament) Research Centre
               Oil Revenue Maximization: Within OPEC or Without?  
·                     Dr. Mohammad Mazraati, Research Manager, Institute for Int’l Energy Studies (IIES)
               Oil Price Volatility and Forecast Reliability   Power Point Presentation

16:45- END OF DAY ONE OF THE CONFERENCE

DAY TWO

    IRAN OIL RESERVES AND ALTERNATIVE CAPACITY BUILDING STRATEGIES

Chairman: Mr. Akbar Torkan

09:00- SESSION  V:
·                       Dr. Mohammad Reza Moghadam, Corporate Planning Director, NIOC
              Iran Petroleum Upstream
·                       Mr. Eskandar Bavarian, Advisor to NIOC Managing Director
              A Study of Iran's Oil and Gas Fields and Reserves
·                       Mr. Hossein Roshandel, Deputy Director, Exploration, NIOC
              Potentials of Production Capacity

10:30- REFRESHMENT

11:00- SESSION  VI:
·                       Dr. Mohammad Ali Emadi, Research and Development Director, NIOC
               NIOC’s Upstream Strategic Review
·                       Mr. Ali Akbar Ale-Agha, Director, Petroleum Engineering and Development Co. (PEDEC) 
               A Report on Current Buy-Back Service Projects
·                      Mr. Mohammad H. Bagherpour, Managing Director, South Zagros Oil and Gas Utilization Co.
                  Production Capacity Building for Iranian Fields  Power Point Presentation

12:30- LUNCH

          OIL SECTOR, FINANCING AND LEGAL FRAMEWORKS 

Chairman: Dr. Hojatollah Ghanimifard / Dr. S. Mostafa Zeinoddin

14:00- SESSION  VII:
·                       Dr. Hossein Razavi, Director, Infrastructure & Energy Dept., Europe and Central Asia Region, The
              World Bank  
               Managing the Petroleum Stabilization Funds
·                       Dr. Ahmad R.  Jalali-Naini, Chairman, Department of Economics, IRPD/ Dr. Mehdi Assali,
                  President, Institute for Int’l Energy Studies (IIES)
                   Cyclical Behavior and Persistence of Oil Price Shocks  Power Point Presentation
·                       Dr. Mehdi Varzi, Director, Energy Varzi Co.
                Comparative Analysis of Alternative Frameworks: Service Contracts & Production Sharing
·                       Dr. Mohsen Mohebi, Senior Legal Advisor to the Bureau of Int’l Legal Services of Iran  
              Petroleum Agreements:  Experience of Oil Dispute Settlements    
·                      Dr. Mehrdad Naraghi, Projects Manager, Gamma Management Consulting Group
              Financing Energy Projects in Developing Countries: Risks & Current Practices Power Point Presentation

15:40- REFRESHMENT

          ROUNDTABLE: LONG-TERM STRATEGIES FOR IRANIAN OIL SECTOR

 16:00- SESSION  VIII:

·                       Mr. S. Mehdi Mirmoezi, Deputy Minister of Petroleum & CEO, NIOC
·                       Mr. Akbar Torkan, Deputy Minister of Petroleum (Planning)
·                       Mr. H. Kazempour Ardebili, Senior Advisor to the Minister of Petroleum & Member of the Board of
                  Governors of OPEC
·                       Dr. Masoud Nili, Advisor to the Minister of Petroleum
·                       Dr. Hojatollah Ghanimifard, Executive Director for Int’l Affaires, NIOC

17:45- END OF CONFERENCE